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CPI作为2007年中国热点问题之一引起了人们的普遍关注。文章通过引入CPI,利用经济计量模型检验了中国1978-2007年能源消费与经济增长之间的因果关系,结论是:能源消费与GDP和CPI之间存在长期协整关系,GDP对能源消费存在单向Granger因果关系,而CPI与能源消费之间不存在Granger因果关系,因此能源消费增长速度的降低并不会影响经济增长速度。通过研究认为,中国可以进一步采取节能措施以降低能源强度,而不会影响中国经济的发展。
Abstract：CPI is paid much attention by many people in China.This paper examines the causality between Chinese energy consumption and economic growth during 1978-2007 by introducing CPI.The results indicate that,in the long run,there is a co-integration relationship among energy consumption,GDP and CPI;while in the short run,unidirectional Granger causality runs from GDP to total energy consumption.So reducing the growth rate of energy consumption will not impact economic growth.This result shows that China can reduce its energy intensity by adopting energy-saving policy further,and it would not depress China's economic development.
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基本信息:
DOI：10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2009.05.005
中图分类号:F426.2;F124;F224
引用信息:
[1]施凤丹.中国能源消费与经济增长实证研究[J].商业经济与管理,2009,No.211(05):68-71.DOI:10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2009.05.005 .
2009-05-15
2009-05-15