商业经济与管理

中国装备制造业发展迅速,已成为全球装备制造业出口第一大国,国际地位也在不断提高。德国作为装备制造业强国,其装备制造业的自动化水平和信息技术水平居于全球领先地位。德国"工业4.0"战略和"中国制造2025"战略相似,在两大战略的背景下,加强中德两国装备制造业的合作,对两国来说是互利共赢的。文章基于演化博弈视角,对中德装备制造业的合作展开分析,根据复制动态方程的分析结果判定均衡解的稳定性,并进行数值模拟来探讨稳定解的影响因素。研究结果表明,影响中德两国实现装备制造业合作共赢局面的主要因素是中德两国合作超额收益、成本以及竞争的投机收益和被竞争方所遭受的损失。在此基础上提出构建中德产业技术联盟、创新合作路径、控制合作成本、构建较好的信任机制等稳定双方合作关系的策略。

China's equipment manufacturing industry is developing rapidly and is ranking the first among equipment manufacturing industries in the world. Its international status is also rising. The manufacturing industry of Germany is one of the most competitive in the world,and the automation level of its equipment manufacturing industry is far ahead and occupies a prominent position in the global information technology. Germany's"Industry 4. 0"strategy is similar to"China's manufacturing 2025"strategy. Under the background of the two strategies,strengthening the cooperation between China and Germany's equipment manufacturing industry is a win-win future for both countries. Based on the evolutionary game theory,this paper analyzes the cooperation between the Chinese and German equipment manufacturing industries,and analyzes the stability of equilibrium solution by constructing replicative dynamic equation,then discusses the influence factors of stability solution by numerical simulation. The results show that the winwin situation of the Chinese and German equipment manufacturing industry is related to the excess benefits,costs,speculative gains of competition and the losses suffered by the competitors. On this basis,the paper puts forward the strategy of stabilizing the cooperative relationship between the two sides: establishing industrial technology alliance,innovating the cooperative channel,controlling the cooperation cost,and constructing a good trust mechanism.