| 711 | 6 | 134 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
文章主要研究欧洲信用衍生产品CDO(Collateralized Debt Obligation,担保债务凭证)的发行对金融市场稳定性的影响。文章对CDO的发行量、市场波动率及欧洲6月期无风险利率与金融市场稳定性的关系采用联合极值的方法,建立泊松计数模型,并做实证分析,结果显示:金融中介之间的联动效应会增加金融市场的系统性风险;CDO发行量仅与负的联合极值显著正相关,表明CDO发行量越大对金融稳定性冲击越大。CDO发行量与正的联合极值不相关,说明CDO对银行进行风险管理的积极作用有限。此外,信息不对称程度及无风险利率也会对金融市场的稳定性产生影响。
Abstract:This paper analyzes the impact of European credit derivatives CDO(Collateralized Debt Obligation) issuance on the financial market stability.This paper studies the relationship between CDO issuance volume,market volatility,Europe 6-months risk-free interest rate and the stability of financial market with the co-exceedances method and the Poisson Count model.We find that the linkage effect of the intermediation between financial institutions increases the systemic risk in the financial market;CDO issuance is only positively related to the negative coexceedances,suggesting that the greater amount of CDO issuance,the greater impact on financial stability.CDO issuance is not related to the positive coexceedances,indicating that the role of banks in CDO risk management is limited.In addition,the asymmetric information and risk-free interest rate also affect the stability of financial market.
[1]WOLF W,IAN W MARSH.Credit Risk Transfer and Financial Sector Performance[R].CEPR Working Paper,2004(4265):1-32.
[2]金中夏,张甜甜.信用衍生品市场发展对金融稳定的意义[J].中国金融,2007(8):15.
[3]INSTEFJORD N.Risk and Hedging:Do Credit Derivatives Increase Bank Risk?[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,2005,29(2):333-345.
[4]GREGORY R DUFEE,ZHOU C.Credit Derivatives in Banking:Useful Tools for Managing Risk?[J].Journal of MonetaryEconomics,2001,48(1):25-54.
[5]ALAN D,MORRISON.Credit Derivatives,Disintermediation and Investment Decisions[J].Journal of Business,2005,78(2):621-648.
[6]BAUR D,JOOSSENS E.The Effect of Credit Risk Transfer on Financial Stability[R].EUR Working Paper,2005(21521):1-24.
[7]ANTHONY M,SANTOMER O,JEFFREY J TRESTERE.Financial Innovation and Bank Risk Taking[J].Journal of EconomicBehavior&Organization,1998,35(1):25-37.
[8]范希文,孙健.信用衍生品理论与实务——金融创新中的机遇与挑战[M].北京:中国经济出版社,2010:129-130.
[9]周子元,邓雁,叶育甫.我国上市公司股价波动率与公司基本面风险关系研究[J].经济问题探索,2010(6):94-99.
[10]KING W A,WADHWANI S.Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets[J].Review of Financial Studies,1990,3(1):5-33.
[11]RICHARD T BAILLIE,RAMON P DEGENNARO.Stock Returns and Volatility[J].Journal of Financial and QuantitativeAnalysis,1990,25(2):203-214.
[12]李云林.美国金融体系的利率风险分析——以次贷危机的引发和扩散为例[J].国际金融研究,2009(8):23-29.
[13]BAE K,G ANDREW K,RENE M S.A New Approach to Measuring Financial Contagion[J].Review of Financial Studies,2003,16(3):717-763.
[14]陈强.高级计量经济学及Stata应用[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2010:203-204.
[15]王群勇.STATA在统计与计量分析中的应用[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2007:189.
基本信息:
DOI:10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2012.02.006
中图分类号:F831.5;F224
引用信息:
[1]杨星,钟玉琴.信用衍生品CDO对金融市场稳定性的影响研究[J].商业经济与管理,2012,No.244(02):67-75.DOI:10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2012.02.006.
基金信息:
国家社会科学基金项目“国际信用衍生品市场交易对手关联违约、流动性冲击与信用违约互换风险估值研究”(11BGJ013)
2012-02-15
2012-02-15