| 1,012 | 11 | 123 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
新产品经常因为促销而脱销,并进而会影响消费者对相似品推荐的反应,但目前对该现象的关注和研究却严重不足。基于损失厌恶理论和控制幻觉理论,文章通过构建有调节的双中介模型深入探寻了新产品促销性脱销影响消费者相似品推荐反应的内在机理与边界条件,并通过采用招募大学生被试进行实验的方法进行了实证检验。通过两个实验,研究结果表明:(1)新产品促销性脱销确实会影响消费者对相似品推荐的反应,折价脱销较之于正价脱销他们有更消极的相似品推荐反应;(2)损失厌恶与控制幻觉会共同中介新产品促销性脱销对消费者相似品推荐反应的影响,其中损失厌恶起着消极中介效应,而控制幻觉起着积极中介效应;(3)消费者的交易倾向会调节损失厌恶与控制幻觉的双中介效应,高交易倾向更容易让损失厌恶中介效应占优,而低交易倾向更容易让控制幻觉中介效应占优。文章结论不仅对深化与完善新产品脱销、损失厌恶和控制幻觉等理论具有重要意义,而且对于指导和改善厂商正确操作脱销营销、消费者理性消费和监管机构规范经营等具有重要的管理启示。
Abstract:New products are often out of stock due to promotions, which in turn influences consumer's response to recommendations of similar alternatives, but to date, there is little research on this phenomenon. Based on both loss aversion theory and illusion of control theory, we constructed a model of moderated dual mediators and deeply explored both underlying mechanism and boundary conditions of the impact of promotional out-of-stock of new products on consumer's response to recommendation of similar alternatives, and moreover we use experimental method with undergraduate students as subjects. The experiment results suggested that (1) out-of-stock of new products did influence consumer's response to recommendation of similar alternatives, and out-of-stock with discounted price gave rise to consumer's more negative response to recommendation of similar alternatives than that with regular price,(2) aversion of loss and illusion of control together mediated their impacts, namely the former would exert negative mediation but the latter positive mediation, and (3) consumers' deal proneness would moderate dual mediation of the aversion of loss and illusion of control, specifically high deal proneness more easily led to the former mediation dominant but low deal proneness more easily led to the latter mediation dominant. These findings are significant in the studies of theories such as out-of-stock of new products theory,aversion of loss and illusion of control theory. They also have important managerial implication for businesses' appropriate out-ofstock marketing, consumers' rational consumption and regulators ' supervision and administration.
[1]KU H H,KUO C C,HUANG W T.Message-related effects on consumer switching when the preferred product is out of stock[J].European Journal of Marketing,2017,51(5/6):1091-1108.
[2]KALYANAM K,BOATWRIGHT B P.Deconstructing each item's category contribution[J].Marketing Science,2007,26(3):327-341.
[3]李东进,张成虎,马明龙.脱销情境下消费者会购买相似品吗——自我建构视角的分析[J].南开管理评论,2016(3):98-109.
[4]TSIROS M.Releasing the regret lock:consumer response to new alternatives after a sale[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2009,35(6):1039-1059.
[5]DIELS J L,WIEBACH N,HILDEBRANDT L.The impact of promotions on consumer choices and preferences in out-of-stock situations[J].Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services,2013,20(6):587-598.
[6]PEINKOFER S T,ESPER T L,SMITH R J,et al.Assessing the impact of price promotions on consumer response to online stockouts[J].Journal of Business Logistics,2015,36(3):260-272.
[7]CAMPO K,GIJSBRECHTS E,NISOL P.The impact of retailer stockouts on whether,how much,and what to buy[J].International Journal of Research in Marketing,2003,20(3):273-286.
[8]GUPTA S.Impact of sales promotions on when,what,and how much to buy[J].Journal of Marketing Research,1988,25(4):342-355.
[9]TAYLOR J C,FAWCETT S E.Retail on-shelf performance of advertised items:an assessment of supply chain effectiveness at the point of purchase[J].Journal of Business Logistics,2001,22(1):73-89.
[10]ZEELENBERG M,NISTAD B A,Van PUTTEN M,et al.Inaction inertia,regret,and valuation:a closer look[J].Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,2006,101(1):89-104.
[11]CAO Z,HUI K L,XU H.When discounts hurt sales:the case of daily-deal markets[J].Information Systems Research,2018,29(3):567-591.
[12]张成虎,刘建新,李东进.脱销积极效应述评:双重加工理论视角[J].中国流通经济,2019(4):91-101.
[13]GNEEZY A,GNEEZY U,LAUGA D O.A reference-dependent model of the price-quality heuristic[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2014,51(2):153-164.
[14]NAYLOR R W,Raghunathan R,Ramanathan S.Promotions spontaneously induce a positive evaluative response[J].Journal of Consumer Psychology,2006,16(3):295-305.
[15]SCHINDLER R M.Consequences of perceiving oneself as responsible for obtaining a discount:evidence for smart-shopper feelings[J].Journal of Consumer Psychology,1998,7(4):371-392.
[16]WU R J,WANG C L.The asymmetric impact of other-blame regret versus self-blame regret on negative word of mouth:empirical evidence from China[J].European Journal of Marketing,2017,51(11/12):1799-1816.
[17]XIA L,MONROE K B,COX J L.The price is unfair! A conceptual framework of price fairness perceptions[J].Journal of Marketing,2004,68(4):1-15.
[18]ZINN W,LIU P C.Consumer response to retail stockouts[J].Journal of Business Logistics,2001,22(1):49-71.
[19]FITZSIMONS G J,LEHMANN D R.Reactance to recommendations:when unsolicited advice yields contrary responses[J].Marketing Science,2004,23(1):82-94.
[20]KIVETZ R.Promotion reactance:the role of effort-reward congruity[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2005,31(4):725-736.
[21]PRESSON P K,BENNASSI V A.Locus of control orientation and depressive symptomatology:a meta-analysis[J].Journal of Social Behavior & Personality,1996,11(1):201-212.
[22]TVERSKY A,KAHNEMAN D.Loss aversion in riskless choice:a reference-dependent model[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1991,106(4):1039-1061.
[23]CORSTEN D,GRUEN T.Desperately seeking shelf availability:an examination of the extent,the causes,and the efforts to address retail out-of-stocks[J].International Journal of Retail & Distribution Management,2003,31(11/12):605-617.
[24]BECERRIL-ARREOLA R,LENG M,PARLAR M.Online retailers' promotional pricing,free-shipping threshold,and inventory decisions:a simulation-based analysis[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2013,230(2):272-283.
[25]AILAWADI K L,NESLIN S A.The effect of promotion on consumption:buying more and consuming it faster[J].Journal of Marketing Research,1998,35(3):390-398.
[26]CHEN W W,TSAI D,CHUANG H C.Effects of missing a price promotion after purchasing on perceived price unfairness,negative emotions,and behavioral responses[J].Social Behavior & Personality An International Journal,2010,38(4):495-508.
[27]INMAN J J,ZEELENBERG M.Regret in repeat purchase versus switching decisions:the attenuating role of decision justifiability[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2002,29(1):116-128.
[28]LEE L,ARIELY D.Shopping goals,goal concreteness,and conditional promotions[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2006,33(6):60-70.
[29]GE X,MESSINGER P,LI J.Influence of soldout products on consumer choice[J].Journal of Retailing,2009,85(3):274-287.
[30]GREGOIRE Y,TRIPP T M,LEGOUX R.When customer love turns into lasting hate:the effects of relationship strength and time on customer revenge and avoidance[J].Journal of Marketing,2009,73(6):18-32.
[31]TVERSKY A,SHAFIR E.Choice under conflict:the dynamics of deferred decision[J].Psychological Science,1992,3(6):358-361.
[32]HARINCK F,DIJK E V,BEEST I V,et al.When gains loom larger than losses:reversed loss aversion for small amounts of money[J].Psychological Science,2007,18(12):1099-1105.
[33]CANESSA N,CRESPI C,MOTTERLINI M,et al.The functional and structural neural basis of individual difference in loss aversion[J].The Journal of Neuroscience:The Official Journal of the Society for Neuroscience,2013,33(36):14307-14317.
[34]HOCHMAN G,YECHIAM E.Loss aversion in the eye and in the heart:the autonomic nervous system's responses to losses[J].Journal of Behavioral Decision Making,2011,24(2):140-156.
[35]NOVEMSKY N,KAHNEMAN D.The boundaries of loss aversion[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2005,42(2):119-128.
[36]NEUMANN N,BOCKENHOLT U.A meta-analysis of loss aversion in product choice[J].Journal of Retailing,2014,90(2):182-197.
[37]MULLAINATHAN S,SHAFIR E.Scarcity:why having too little means so much[M].New York:Times Books,2013:33.
[38]ALLARD T,DUNN L H,WHITE K.Negative reviews,positive impact:consumer empathetic responding to unfair word of mouth[J].Journal of Marketing,2020,84(4):86-108.
[39]HERWEG F,ROSATO A,STRATEGY J.Bait and ditch:consumer naveté and salesforce incentives[J].Journal of Economics & Management Strategy,2020,29(1):97-121.
[40]LANGER E J.The illusion of control[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1975,32(2):311-328.
[41]ROTHBAUM F,WEISZ J R,SNYDER S S.Changing the world and changing the self:a two-process model of perceived control[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1982,42(1):5-37.
[42]THOMPSON S C,ARMSTONG W,THOMAS C.Illusions of control,underestimations,and accuracy:a control heuristic explanation[J].Psychological Bulletin,1998,123(2):143-161.
[43]KOOL W,GETZ S J,BOTVINICK M M.Neural representation of reward probability:evidence from the illusion of control[J].Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience,2013,25(6):852-861.
[44]STEFAN S,DAVID D.Recent developments in the experimental investigation of the illusion of control:a meta-analytic review[J].Journal of Applied Social Psychology 2013,43(2):377-386.
[45]RECZEK R W,HAWS K L,SUMMERS C A.Lucky loyalty:the effect of consumer effort on predictions of randomly determined marketing outcomes[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2014,41(12):1065-1077.
[46]GOLLWITZER P,KINNEY M,RONALD F,et al.Effects of deliberative and implemental mind-sets on illusion of control[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1989,56(4):531-542.
[47]SPILER S A.Opportunity cost consideration[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2011,38(4):595-610.
[48]STUDER B,GENIOLE S N,BECKER M L,et al.Inducing illusory control ensures persistence when rewards fade and when others outperform us[J].Psychonomic Bulletin & Review,2020,27(12):809-818.
[49]LANGENS T A.Regulatory focus and illusions of control[J].Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin,2007,33(2):226-237.
[50]BARTLING B,FEHR E,HERZ H.The intrinsic value of decision rights[J].Econometrica,2014,82(6):2005-2039.
[51]LICHTENSTEIN D R,NETEMEYER R G,BURTON S.Distinguishing coupon proneness from value consciousness:an acquisition-transaction utility theory perspective[J].Journal of Marketing,1990,54(3):54-67.
[52]SHARMA D,SINGH S.Deal proneness and national culture:evidence from the USA,Thailand and Kenya[J].International Marketing Review,2018,35(6):981-1008.
[53]SCHINDLER R M,LALA V,CORCORAN C.Intergenerational influence in consumer deal proneness[J].Psychology & Marketing,2014,31(5):307-320.
[54]DELVECCHIO D.Deal-prone consumers' response to promotion:the effects of relative and absolute promotion value[J].Psychology & Marketing,2005,22(5):373-391.
[55]FEINBERG F M,KRISHNA A,ZHANG Z J.Do we care what others get?A behaviorist approach to targeted promotions[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2002,39(3):277-291.
[56]GARRETSON J A,BURTON S.Highly coupon and sale prone consumers:benefits beyond price savings[J].Journal of Advertising Research,2003,43(2):163-173.
[57]LICHTENSTEIN D,BURTON S,NETEMEYER R.An examination of deal proneness across sales promotion types:a consumer segmentation perspective[J].Journal of Retailing,1997,73(2):283-297.
[58]SHADDY F,Lee L.Price promotions cause impatience[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2020,57(1):118-133.
[59]CHATTERJEE P,IRMAK C,ROSE R L.The endowment effect as self-enhancement in response to threat[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2013,40(3):460-476.
[60]FITZSIMONS G J.Consumer response to stockouts[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2000,27(2):249-266.
[61]MEHTA R,HOEGGo J,CHAKRAVARTI A.Knowing too much:expertise-induced false recall effects in product comparison[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2011,38(3):535-554.
[62]CHURCHILL Jr G A.A paradigm for developing better measures of marketing constructs[J].Journal of Marketing Research,1979,16(2):64-73.
[63]FORNELL C,LARCKER D F.Evaluating structural equation models with unobservable variables and measurement error[J].Journal of Marketing Research,1981,24(2):337-346.
[64]BARON R M,KENNY D A.The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research:conceptual,strategic,and statistical considerations[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1986,51(6):1173-1182.
[65]MULLER D,JUDD C M,YZERBYT V Y.When moderation is mediated and mediation is moderated[J].Journal of Personality & Social Psychology,2005,89(6):852-863.
[66]HAYES A F.Introduction to mediation,moderation,and conditional process analysis:a regression-based approach[M].NewYork:Guilford Press,2013:20.
[67]ZHAO X,LYNCH J G,CHEN Q.Reconsidering baron and kenny:myths and truths about mediation analysis[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2010,37(2):197-206.
[68]PACKARD G,BERGER J.How concrete language shapes customer satisfaction[J].Journal of Consumer Research,2021,47(5):787-806.
[69]WIRTZ J,CHEW P.The effects of incentives,deal proneness,satisfaction and tie strength on word-of-mouth behaviour[J].International Journal of Service Industry Management,2002,13(2):141-162.
[70]INMAN J J,PETER A C,RAGHUBIR P.Framing the deal:the role of restrictions in accentuating deal value[J].Journal of Consumer Research,1997,24(6):68-79.
[71]BATHAEE A.The double-edged sword of anticipated regret:comparative study in iran and germany[J].Journal of International Consumer Marketing,2013,25(5):344-359.
[72]PETERSON R A,KIM Y,JOENG J.Out-of-stock,soldout,or unavailable?Framing a product outage in online retailing[J].Psychology & Marketing,2019,37(3):1-13.
[73]PREACHER K J,HAYES A F.Asymptotic and resampling strategies for assessing and comparing indirect effects in multiple mediator models[J].Behavior Research Methods,2008,40(3):879-891.
基本信息:
DOI:10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2023.01.003
中图分类号:F274;F713.55
引用信息:
[1]刘建新,范秀成,晋向东.促销之爱,焉能替代?新产品促销性脱销对消费者相似品推荐反应的影响研究[J].商业经济与管理,2023,No.375(01):26-43.DOI:10.14134/j.cnki.cn33-1336/f.2023.01.003.
基金信息:
国家自然科学基金资助项目“强势品牌广告竞争对同行业弱势品牌的溢出效应研究”(71972082); 重庆市自然科学基金面上项目“消费选择虚位诱导效应的生理影响与神经反应研究”(cstc2021jcyj-msxmX1067); 西南大学中央高校科研基本业务费专项重点资助项目“消费者反消费行为研究:内在机理、边界条件与干预策略”(SWU2109309)
2023-01-15
2023-01-15